Thursday, February 5, 2009

Dems can win Kentucky US Senate seat in 2010

The polling group Research 2000 just polled various possible matchups for Kentucky's 2010 US Senate race. And right now, the Democrats are very much in the game:

The poll results indicate that despite wildly diverging favorabilities for each candidate, every matchup yields a four-point margin at the most, regardless of who the candidates are. Even stranger, the least popular candidate in the field by favorability - Senator Bunning - actually has the strongest numbers in head-to-head polls.

Research 2000 for Daily Kos. 1/29-2/2. Registered voters. MoE 4%. (No trend lines)

Jim Bunning (R) 45
Ben Chandler (D) 42

Jim Bunning (R) 46
Jack Conway (D) 42

Jim Bunning (R) 45
Crit Luallen (D) 41

Jim Bunning (R) 46
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 42


Trey Grayson (R) 42
Ben Chandler (D) 42

Trey Grayson (R) 42
Jack Conway (D) 41

Trey Grayson (R) 42
Crit Luallen (D) 42

Trey Grayson (R) 43
Daniel Mongiardo (D) 42

Every one of these matchups is within the poll's 4 percent margin of error. This is great news for Kentucky Democrats!